Longwood
W-L: ( 3-12) PR = 71.8395Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Coastal Carolina Atlantic Su (10- 8, 81.1) 10-19 214 A William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 9, 79.9) 4-17 221 H Campbell Colonial (11- 6, 81.7) 6-16 225 A VCU Atlantic 10 (13- 5, 83.2) 4-15 304 H Liberty Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 81.7) 4-16 317 H Old Dominion AAC ( 5-12, 76.2) 12- 7 325 A Wofford Big South ( 9-10, 76.3) 9-22 328 H Winthrop Big South ( 6-10, 74.2) 10- 7 401 A High Point Big South ( 8-10, 81.9) 4-25 404 H Furman Big South (10- 9, 77.0) 11-13 411 A Presbyterian Big South ( 5-12, 70.8) 10- 7 418 H Gardner Webb Big South ( 2-15, 71.1) 9-11 422 H Radford Big South ( 4-14, 71.3) 8- 9 425 A Mercer Big South (13- 7, 85.5) 8-18 428 A Wofford Big South ( 9-10, 76.3) 7-13
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Coastal Carolina 10-19 -9 -11 1.67
214 A William & Mary 4-17 -13 -9 - -3.59
221 H Campbell 6-16 -10 -9 -1.47
225 A VCU 4-15 -11 -13 1.73
304 H Liberty 4-16 -12 -8 - -3.53
317 H Old Dominion 12- 7 5 -3 +++ 7.96
325 A Wofford 9-22 -13 -6 --- -7.17
328 H Winthrop 10- 7 3 -1 + 3.95
401 A High Point 4-25 -21 -11 - -2.55
404 H Furman 11-13 -2 -4 1.81
411 A Presbyterian 10- 7 3 0 + 3.31
418 H Gardner Webb 9-11 -2 2 -- -4.08
422 H Radford 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.88
425 A Mercer 8-18 -10 -15 ++ 4.00
428 A Wofford 7-13 -6 -6 -0.17
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A Wofford 9-22 -13 -6 --- -7.17 418 H Gardner Webb 9-11 -2 2 -- -4.08 214 A William & Mary 4-17 -13 -9 - -3.59 304 H Liberty 4-16 -12 -8 - -3.53 401 A High Point 4-25 -21 -11 - -2.55 422 H Radford 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.88 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 H Old Dominion 12- 7 5 -3 +++ 7.96 425 A Mercer 8-18 -10 -15 ++ 4.00 328 H Winthrop 10- 7 3 -1 + 3.95 411 A Presbyterian 10- 7 3 0 + 3.31 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Coastal Caroli (10- 8, 81.1) 10-19 -18.76 21.41 1.37 1.15 -10.04
3 A William & Mary ( 7- 9, 79.9) 4-17 -20.02 20.15 1.37 1.15 -10.77
3 H Campbell (11- 6, 81.7) 6-16 -18.17 22.00 -1.37 1.15 -11.28
3 A VCU (13- 5, 83.2) 4-15 -16.70 23.47 1.37 1.15 -8.85
3 H Liberty ( 8-11, 81.7) 4-16 -18.22 21.95 -1.37 1.15 -11.31
3 H Old Dominion ( 5-12, 76.2) 12- 7 -23.74 16.43 -1.37 1.15 34.79
3 A Wofford ( 9-10, 76.3) 9-22 -23.60 16.57 1.37 1.15 -12.84
3 H Winthrop ( 6-10, 74.2) 10- 7 -25.75 14.42 -1.37 1.15 30.15
3 A High Point ( 8-10, 81.9) 4-25 -17.98 22.19 1.37 1.15 -9.59
3 H Furman (10- 9, 77.0) 11-13 -22.89 17.28 -1.37 1.15 -14.01
3 A Presbyterian ( 5-12, 70.8) 10- 7 -29.12 11.05 1.37 1.15 28.68
3 H Gardner Webb ( 2-15, 71.1) 9-11 -28.77 11.40 -1.37 1.15 -17.40
3 H Radford ( 4-14, 71.3) 8- 9 -28.57 11.60 -1.37 1.15 -17.29
3 A Mercer (13- 7, 85.5) 8-18 -14.42 25.75 1.37 1.15 -7.54
3 A Wofford ( 9-10, 76.3) 7-13 -23.60 16.57 1.37 1.15 -12.84
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-50.12
|
winning pts = 93.6256 losing points = -143.7479
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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